The Black Swan The Impact of the Highly Improbable

The Black Swan The Impact of the Highly Improbable

By: Nassim Nicholas Taleb (author)eBook

Description

What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', The Black Swan shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.

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Product Details

  • publication date: 03/04/2008
  • ID: 9780141906201
  • book language: en
  • publisher: Penguin Books Ltd

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