This major book presents, for the first time, an authoritative history of developments in macroeconometric modelling since the 1930s. It focuses in particular on the construction of mathematico-statistical models of entire economies, estimated from national accounts and other macroeconomic data. International and comparative in scope, the book contains chapters prepared by specialists from the different countries concerned.
This landmark book is indispensable to an understanding of the history and development of large scale econometric models of modern economies.
Ronald G. Bodkin, Professor of Economics, University of Ottawa, Canada, the late Lawrence R. Klein, former Benjamin Franklin Professor of Economics Emeritus, University of Pennsylvania, US and 1980 Nobel Laureate in Economic Sciences, Kanta Marwah, Professor of Economics, Carleton University, Canada
Contents: Part I: Introduction 1. Antecedents of Macroeconometric Models 2. Econometric Model-Building at the Origins Part II: Experience in the USA 3. American Econometric Models of the 1950s: the Klein-Goldberger Model 4. Expansion and Theoretical Development During the 1960s: the Brookings Model as a Milestone 5. American Econometric Models of the 1970s Part III: Comparative Experience 6. The History of Dutch Macroeconometric Modelling, 1936-1986 (A.P. Barten) 7. Macroeconometric Model-Building in the United Kingdom (Sir J. Ball and S. Holly) 8. Macroeconomic Modelling in France (R. Courbis) 9. Canadian Macroeconometric Modelling, 1947-1979 and Selectively Beyond 10. Econometric Models of the Japanese Economy (K. Sato) 11. Macroeconometric Modelling of South-East Asia: the Case of India 12. Macroeconometric Modelling of Latin American Countries, 1965-1985 (A. Beltran-del-Rio) Part IV: Systems of Models 13. Regional Econometric Models (Roger Bolton) 14. Project LINK and Multicountry Modelling (B.G. Hickman) Part V: Summing Up 15. A History of Computation in Econometrics 16. Lessons from Half a Century of Macroeconometric Modelling 17. Prospects for Macroeconomic Modelling