This work examines theories about presidential approval, as reflected in public opinion polls. Several theories have been proposed to explain the factors that determine a president's standing with the public.
Introduction. Review of the literature: coalition of minorities models; the economy; scandals; wars; rally-round-the-flag models; congressional-presidential relations; media models; psychological models. Data considerations: sources; validity and reliability issues. Preliminary data analysis: predicted vs actual approval scores; analysis of Clinton's approvals: description of approvers/disapprovers; analysis of Ohio poll data. Summary and conclusions.