Advances in Safety, Reliability and Risk Management: ESREL 2011

Advances in Safety, Reliability and Risk Management: ESREL 2011

By: Carlos Guedes Soares (editor), Christophe Berenguer (editor), Antoine Grall (editor)Hardback

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Advances in Safety, Reliability and Risk Management contains the papers presented at the 20th European Safety and Reliability (ESREL 2011) annual conference in Troyes, France, in September 2011. The books covers a wide range of topics, including: Accident and Incident Investigation; Bayesian methods; Crisis and Emergency Management; Decision Making under Risk; Dynamic Reliability; Fault Diagnosis, Prognosis and System Health Management; Fault Tolerant Control and Systems; Human Factors and Human Reliability; Maintenance Modelling and Optimisation; Mathematical Methods in Reliability and Safety; Occupational Safety; Quantitative Risk Assessment; Reliability and Safety Data Collection and Analysis; Risk and Hazard Analysis; Risk Governance; Risk Management; Safety Culture and Risk Perception; Structural Reliability and Design Codes; System Reliability Analysis; Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis. Advances in Safety, Reliability and Risk Management will be of interest to academics and professionals working in a wide range of scientific, industrial and governmental sectors, including: Aeronautics and Aerospace; Chemical and Process Industry; Civil Engineering; Critical Infrastructures; Energy; Information Technology and Telecommunications; Land Transportation; Manufacturing; Maritime Transportation; Mechanical Engineering; Natural Hazards; Nuclear Industry; Offshore Industry; Policy Making and Public Planning.

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Contents

Thematic areas Accident and incident investigation A preliminary analysis of the 'News Divine' incident S. Olmos-Pena & J.R. Santos-Reyes Case study: Do activities and outcomes of the process safety observations match? M. Gerbec Definition of an algorithm for accident identification M. Nombela & E. Boix Feasibility of railway suicide prevention strategies: A focus group study H. Radbo, B. Renck & R. Andersson Major accidents and their consequences for risk regulation I.B. Dahle, G. Dybvig, G. Ersdal, T. Guldbrandsen, B.A. Hanson, J.E. Tharaldsen & A.S. Wiig Prevention of atypical accident scenarios through the use of resilience based early warning indicators N. Paltrinieri, V. Cozzani, K. Oien & T.O. Grotan Suicide and the potential for suicide prevention on the Swedish rail network: A qualitative multiple case study H. Radbo, I. Svedung & R. Andersson Bayesian methods An AHP-based approach of risk analysis in Bayesian belief networks B. Xie & J. Vatn An optimizational resource allocation method for series system reliability life test Q. Liu, X. Wu & J. Ding Assessing risk based on Bayesian networks and FMECA: A case study L.M. Pedersen & M.H. Saltnes Bayesian network for decision making on ageing facilities P.A.P. Ramirez & I.B. Utne Comparison of fault tree and Bayesian Networks for modeling safety critical components in railway systems Q. Mahboob & D. Straub Establishing prior probability distributions for probabilities that pairs of software components fail simultaneously M. Kristiansen, R. Winther & B. Natvig Parameter estimation in a reservoir engineering application A.M. Hanea & M. Gheorghe Reliability based design of engineering systems with monotonic models M. Rajabalinejad & C. Spitas Towards a Bayesian Network methodology to improve maintenance of complex semiconductor systems M.F. Bouaziz, E. Zamai, S. Monot, F. Duvivier & S. Hubac Work time loss prediction by exploiting occupational accident data E.C. Marcoulaki, I.A. Papazoglou & M. Konstandinidou Crisis and emergency management Functional safety requirements for active protection systems from individual and collective risk criteria J.E. Kaufman & I. Haring How the use of modelled scenarios can improve risk awareness and risk control in complex environments J.M. Hagen, B.O. Knutsen, T. Sandrup & M. Bjornenak Interdependency-based approach of complex events in critical infrastructure under crisis: A first step toward a global framework B. Birregah, A. Muller & E. Chatelet Learning decision making: Some ideas on how novices better can learn from skilled response personnel M. Sommer Performance evaluation of organizational crisis cell: Methodological proposal at communal level D. Lachtar & E. Garbolino Quantitative approach of organizational resilience for a Dutch emergency response safety region J.M.P. van Trijp, M. Ulieru & P.H.A.J.M. van Gelder Security incidents and subsequent adaptations of disaster response in complex humanitarian emergencies B.I. Kruke Decision making under risk A guidance for implementing decision-aiding in risk management F. Beaudouin & M. Merad Dealing with uncertainties in long term investment planning of electricity distribution systems with distributed generation M.D. Catrinu, M. Istad & D.E. Nordgard Forming risk clusters in projects to improve coordination between risk owners F. Marle & L.A. Vidal On the use of value of information measure in decision making-A drilling jar case J.T. Selvik, H.P. Lohne & T. Aven Performance-based fire safety-risk associated with different designs H. Bjelland & O. Nja Sequential optimization of oil production under uncertainty A.B. Huseby & N. Moratchevski Shared collaboration surfaces used to support adequate team decision processes in an integrated operations setting M. Kaarstad & G. Rindahl Visualization and verification of dependable work processes for stakeholder-driven organizations A.P.-J. Thunem & H.P.-J. Thunem Dynamic reliability A comparison of scenario binning methods for dynamic probabilistic risk assessment K. Metzroth, D. Mandelli, A. Yilmaz, R. Denning & T. Aldemir A dynamic Level 2 PRA using ADAPT-MELCOR D.M. Osborn, D. Mandelli, K. Metzroth, T. Aldemir, R. Denning & U. Catalyurek A probabilistic model for online scenario labeling in dynamic event tree generation D. Zamalieva, A. Yilmaz & T. Aldemir Application of the dynamic hazop to an air separation distillation column J.S.G.C. Matos, P.F. Frutuoso e Melo & M. Nele Capability of the MCDET method in the field of dynamic PSA M. Kloos Development of a simulator independent cognitive human reliability model for nuclear accident conditions R. Sundaramurthi & C. Smidts Dynamic reliability and uncertainty analysis of severe accident with randomly delayed events R. Alzbutas & P.E. Labeau Lazy forward-chaining methods for probabilistic model-checking F. Teichteil-Konigsbuch, G. Infantes & C. Seguin Reliability assessment for complex systems operating in dynamic environment G. Babykina, N. Brinzei, J.-F. Aubry & G.A. Perez Castaneda Using dynamic Bayesian networks to solve a dynamic reliability problem P. Broy, H. Chraibi & R. Donat Fault diagnosis, prognosis and system health management A comparison of distribution estimators used to determine a degradation decision threshold for very low first order error O. Hmad, A. Mathevet, P. Beauseroy, E. Grall-Maes & J.R. Masse A first step toward a model driven diagnosis algorithm design methodology J.-M. Flaus, O. Adrot & Q.D. Ngo A generic adaptive prognostic function for heterogeneous multi-component systems: Application to helicopters P. Ribot & E. Bensana Advanced text mining algorithms for aerospace anomaly identification Z. Bluvband & S. Porotsky ANN based Bayesian hierarchical model for crack detection and localization over helicopter fuselage panels C. Sbarufatti, A. Manes & M. Giglio Contribution to specific determination of system state and condition D. Valis & L. Zak Decision support with a markovian approach for maintenance context activities P. Vrignat, M. Avila, F. Duculty, B. Robles & F. Kratz Diagnostic of discrete event systems using timed automata in MATLAB SIMULINK Z. Simeu-Abazi, E. Gascard & F. Chalagiraud Differential evolution for optimal grouping of condition monitoring signals of nuclear components P. Baraldi, E. Zio, F. Di Maio, L. Pappaglione, R. Chevalier & R. Seraoui Ensemble of unsupervised fuzzy C-Means classifiers for clustering health status of oil sand pumps F. Di Maio, E. Zio, M. Pecht, P. Tse & K. Tsui Evaluation of relevance of stochastic parameters on Hidden Markov Models B. Robles, M. Avila, F. Duculty, P. Vrignat & F. Kratz Exploitation of built in test for diagnosis by using Dynamic Fault Trees: Implementation in Matlab Simulink E. Gascard, Z. Simeu-Abazi & J. Younes Fault detection through physical modelling in an axial flow compressor of a combined-cycle power plant J.A. Garcia-Matos, M.A. Sanz-Bobi, A. Munoz & A. Sola Fault propagation in systems operating phased missions R. Remenyte-Prescott & J.D. Andrews Guaranteeing high availability of wind turbines G. Haddad, P.A. Sandborn, T. Jazouli, M.G. Pecht, B. Foucher & V. Rouet Method of fault detection and isolation in nonlinear electrical circuits A. Zhirabok & D. Tkachev Modeling and fleet effect for the diagnosis of a system behavior F. Ankoud, G. Mourot, J. Ragot, R. Chevalier & N. Paul One-class SVM in multi-task learning X. He, G. Mourot, D. Maquin, J. Ragot, P. Beauseroy, A. Smolarz & E. Grall-Maes Periodical inspection frequency of safety related control systems in machinery-practical recommendations for the determination M. Dzwiarek & O. Hryniewicz Predictive maintenance policy for oil well equipment in case of scaling through support vector machines M.C. Moura, I.D. Lins, R.J. Ferreira, E.L. Droguett & C.M.C. Jacinto Scope and potential of applying artificial neural networks in reliability prediction with a focus on railway rolling stock O. Fink & U. Weidmann State estimation for nonlinear system diagnosis using multiple models: Application to wastewater treatment plants A.M. Kiss, B. Marx, G. Mourot & J. Ragot Supervision of switching systems based on dynamical classification approach A. Chammas, M. Traore, E. Duviella & S. Lecoeuche Fault tolerant control and systems Control allocation of k-out-of-n systems based on Bayesian Network reliability model: Application to a drinking water network P. Weber, C. Simon, D. Theilliol & V. Puig Design of fault tolerant control for nonlinear systems subject to time varying faults T. Bouarar, B. Marx, D. Maquin & J. Ragot Fault-Tolerant system design in multiple operating modes using a structural model B. Conrard, V. Cocquempot & S. Mili Guaranteed localization using reliability of measurements in imperfect mobile sensor networks F. Mourad, H. Snoussi, F. Abdallah & C. Richard Leak detection in the lubrication system of an aircraft turbine engine L. Rakoto, M. Kinnaert, M. Strengnart & N. Raimarckers Prognosis applied to an electromechanical system: A nonlinear approach based on sliding mode observer D. Gucik-Derigny, R. Outbib & M. Ouladsine R2wAC: Recursive redundancy with active comparison J.G. de Chavarri, J. Mendizabal Samper, A. Villaro, S. Urcelayeta, J.M. Blanco & A. Galarza Sensor and actuator faults estimation for Takagi-Sugeno models using descriptor approach: Application to Fault Tolerant Control M. Bouattour, M. Chadli, A. El Hajjaji & M. Chaabane Human factors and human reliability A model-based approach for the collection of human reliability data S. Massaiu Accidents in the gas distribution industry: Some consequences of the introduction of new analysis criteria G. Desmorat, P. Desideri, F. Loth, F. Guarnieri & D. Besnard An approach to predict human reliability in manual assembly B. Gunnel, M. Schlummer, A. Meyna, M. Schick, F. Heumeni & M. Haueis Assessing the impact of domain-specific cognitive profiles on the reliability of human operators in the railway domain M. Arenius, O. Strater, M. Hammerl, M. Talg, K. Lemmer, H. Franzmeyer & B. Milius Bayesian network modelling for fire safety assessment: Part I-a study of human reaction during the initial stages of a dwelling fire D.B. Matellini, A.D. Wall, I.D. Jenkinson, J. Wang & R. Pritchard Concept of operations for data fusion visualization T.R. McJunkin, R.L. Boring, M.A. McQueen, L.P. Shunn, J.L. Wright, D.I. Gertman, O. Linda, K. McCarty & M. Manic Developing and evaluating the Bayesian Belief Network as a human reliability model using artificial data Y. Stempfel & V.N. Dang Implementing of new methods for assessing human risk in maintenance R. Dolezal Information foraging in nuclear power plant control rooms R.L. Boring Integration of human factors in project uncertainty management, a decision support system based on fuzzy logic S. Hassanzadeh, F. Marmier, D. Gourc & S. Bougaret Offshore supply vessels design and operation: A human factors exploration V. Rumawas & B.E. Asbjornslett Participant motivation in experiment of emergency operating procedures F. Song, S. Xu & Z.Z. Li Pendulum shifts, context, error, and personal accountability H.S. Blackman & O.V. Hester Quantitative retrospective analysis of CREAM in maritime operations Z.L. Yang & J. Wang Tailoring the HEART technique for application in the rail industry W.H. Gibson, C. Dennis, K. Thompson, A. Mills & B. Kirwan Task Analysis and modelling based on Human-Centred Design approach in ATC work S. Inoue, H. Aoyama, K. Yamazaki, K. Nakata & K. Furuta Teamwork competencies required by members of integrated operations teams in the petroleum industry A.B. Skjerve & G. Rindahl The development and application of CARA-a HRA tool for Air Traffic Management systems B. Kirwan, A. Kilner, W.H. Gibson, D. Piccione & M. Sawyer The meaning of human performance data observed from simulator studies on human reliability analysis J. Park & W. Jung The right HRA model for the right HRA application V. Fauchille Three Human Reliability Analyses under the MERMOS light P. Le Bot & H. Pesme Towards a unified human reliability model P.A. Baziuk, S. Rivera & J.N. Mc Leod Maintenance modelling and optimisation A complete probabilistic spare parts stock model under uncertainty J. Lonchampt & K. Fessart A framework for selection of test method for safety critical valves E.B. Abrahamsen & W. Roed A maintenance strategy for systems subject to competing failure modes due to multiple internal defects and external shocks I.T. Castro A new modeling framework of component degradation P. Baraldi, A. Balestrero, M. Compare, E. Zio, L. Benetrix & A. Despujols A Petri net model of aircraft maintenance scheduling D.R. Prescott A simulation model for complex repairable systems with inter-component dependencies and three types of component failures J. Malinowski A study of the effect of imperfect inspection on the efficacy of maintenance for a non-repairable system with a defective state M.D. Berrade, P.A. Scarf & C.A.V. Cavalcante Adaptive condition-based maintenance models for deteriorating systems operating under variable environment and indirect condition monitoring K.T. Huynh, A. Barros & C. Berenguer An optimal periodic preventive maintenance policy of a deteriorating system subject to a bivariate state process R. Ahmadi & M. Newby Application of RFMEA to risk analysis of maintenance of electric facilities M. Ko & T. Nishikawa Combined representation of coupling effects in maintenance processes of complex engineering systems V. Volovoi & R. Valenzuela Vega Developments of time dependencies modelling concepts T. Nowakowski & S. Werbinska-Wojciechowska Dynamic grouping maintenance strategy with time limited opportunities P. Do Van, F. Brissaud, A. Barros, C. Berenguer & K. Bouvard Dynamic maintenance requirements analysis in asset management R.A. Dwight, P. Gordon & P.A. Scarf Failure risk analysis and maintenance effectiveness in a windturbine according to its history of unavailability and applied maintenance M.A. Sanz-Bobi, R.J.A. Vieira & X. Montilla Functional and economic obsolescence of assets in network utilities according to different environmental factors J.F. Gomez, V. Gonzalez, L. Barbera & A. Crespo Impact of maintenance on the replacement investment under technological improvement T.P.K. Nguyen, T.G. Yeung & B. Castanier Integrating production and maintenance planning for a parallel system with dependent components M. Nourelfath & E. Chatelet Maintenance effect modelling and optimization of a two-components system W. Lair, R. Ziani, S. Mercier & M. Roussignol Multicriteria paradigm and Multi-objective Optimization on maintenance modeling C.A.V. Cavalcante & A.T. de Almeida Optimal preventive maintenance schedules using specific genetic algorithms and probabilistic graphical model I. Ayadi, L. Bouillaut, P. Aknin & P. Siarry Optimal prognostic maintenance planning for multi-component systems A. Van Horenbeek & L. Pintelon Optimization of redundancy and imperfect preventive maintenance for series-parallel multi-state systems M. Nourelfath & E. Chatelet Predicting rail geometry deterioration by regression models F.P. Westgeest, R. Dekker & R.H. Fischer Probability distribution of maintenance cost of a repairable system modeled as an alternating renewal process T. Cheng, M.D. Pandey & J.A.M. van der Weide Robustness of maintenance decisions: Uncertainty modelling and value of information A. Zitrou, T. Bedford & A. Daneshkhah Semi-Markov processes for coverage modeling and optimal maintenance policies of an automated restoration mechanism H.C. Grigoriadou, V.P. Koutras & A.N. Platis Semi-parametric estimation and condition-based maintenance M. Fouladirad, A. Grall & C. Paroissin Simple Non-Markovian models for complex repair and maintenance strategies with LARES+ M. Walter SIS-design automation by use of Abstract Safety Markup Language K. Machleidt, L. Litz & T. Gabriel SPAMUF: A behaviour-based maintenance prediction system P. Bastos, I. Lopes & L. Pires Spare parts provision for a maintained system with a heterogeneous lifetime P.A. Scarf & C.A.V. Cavalcante State based models applied to offshore wind turbine maintenance and renewal Z. Hameed & J. Vatn The analysis and conversion of warranty maintenance tasks for a power plant B.M. Alkali & P. McGibney Mathematical methods in reliability and safety A block replacement policy for a bivariate wear subordinator S. Mercier & M. Roussignol A Monte Carlo approach for evaluation of availability and failure intensity under g-renewal process model O. Yevkin A new criterion for design of brittle components and for assessing their vulnerability to brittle fracture M.T. Todinov Application of competing risks and generalized renewal processes in reliability analysis R.J. Ferreira, M.C. Moura, E.A.L. Droguett & P.R.A. Firmino Early detection of change-point in occurrence rate with small sample size L. Bordes, C. Paroissin & J.-C. Turlot Fine exact methods of safety, security and risk engineering D. Prochazkova Importance measures and common-cause failures in network reliability C. Tanguy Multivariate Gumbel distributions for Reliability Assessment B.J. Leira & D. Myrhaug Nonparametric predictive inference for reliability of a series of subsystems with multiple component types A.M. Aboalkhair, F.P.A. Coolen & I.M. MacPhee Numerical method for the distribution of a service time of a structure subject to corrosion A. Brandejsky, B. de Saporta, F. Dufour & C. Elegbede On generalized shot noise-type stochastic failure model J.H. Cha & M. Finkelstein Probabilistic prognosis of a system: Application to a pneumatic valve A. Lorton, M. Fouladirad & A. Grall Reliability of the power electronic components by their dynamical simulation in real working conditions J. de Reffye Scenario analysis and PRA: Overview and lessons learned D. Mandelli, T. Aldemir & A. Yilmaz Small failure probabilities and copula functions: Preliminary studies on structural reliability analysis E.A. Tamparopoulos, P. Spyridis & K. Bergmeister Structure decision making for MSS refrigeration system I. Frenkel, L. Khvatskin & A. Lisnianski The Inverse Gamma process for modeling state-dependent deterioration processes M. Guida & G. Pulcini The method of safe 4D flight trajectory prediction in controlled airspace M. Piatek & A. Stelmach Process oriented simulation framework for Common-Cause Failure assessment E. Bejdakic, M. Krauss & H.-P. Berg The unique signal applied to weapon system safety design L.Y. Xiao, J. Li, B. Suo & S. Li Uncertainty analysis via failure domain characterization: Polynomial requirement functions L.G. Crespo, C.A. Munoz, A.J. Narkawicz, S.P. Kenny & D.P. Giesy Uncertainty assessment in semi Markov methods for Weibull functions distributions M. Zajac & A. Kierzkowski Occupational safety An engineering and psycho-social integrated approach for Work-Related Stress (WRS) assessment and management P. Citti, M. Delogu, A. Meneghin & F. Pagliai Applying the safe place, safe person, safe systems framework to the healthcare industry O. Lasaki, A.-M. Makin & C. Winder Applying the safe place, safe person, safe systems framework to the management of biohazards A. Bamford, A.-M. Makin & C. Winder Cognitive, affective and behaviour outcomes of a safety training program L.O. Duarte, S.A. Olea & S.A. Silva Manual handling operations risk assessment A.R. Burciaga-Ortega & J.R. Santos-Reyes Measurement of safety social norms at organizations: Construct validation of a safety social norms survey C.S. Fugas, S.A. Silva & J.L. Melia Organizing for quality and safety in health care-the Norwegian case S. Wiig, J. Quartz, C.v. Plessen & S. Harthug Safety design of high consequence systems based on first principles S. Li, J. Li, B. Suo & L.Y. Xiao The contribution of balanced scorecards to the management of occupational health and safety F. Juglaret, J.M. Rallo, R. Textoris, F. Guarnieri & E. Garbolino The impact of framework conditions on HSE in subcontracting/outsourcing K. Skarholt, U. Forseth, M. Hermundsgard & R. Rosness The impact of human and organisational factors on risk perception on Danish production platforms H.B. Rasmussen Quantitative risk assessment A BBN risk model of maintenance work on major process equipment on offshore petroleum installations B.A. Gran, O.M. Nyheim, J. Seljelid & J.E. Vinnem A methodology to quantitative ecological risk assessment for industrial accidents O.H. Duarte & E.A. Droguett A predicting method of system safety risk state transition time based on Markov process H.T. Li, X.M. Liu, J.L. Zhou & G. Jin A research on simulation methods for system risk assessment X.M. Liu, H.T. Li, J.L. Zhou & P.C. Luo Assessment of common cause failures and defensive measures for the representation of I&C in probabilistic models G. Deleuze, N. Thuy, R. Quatrain & F. Jouanet Combining FMECA and fault trees for declining safety requirements of complex systems R. Guillerm, H. Demmou & N. Sadou Discussion of a mathematical model to simulate a fire ball from gaseous explosion (BLEVE) A.N. Haddad & E.B.F. Galante Enabling quantitative risk assessment of the real world transport system M. Kowalski & J. Magott Fault tree analysis of substations M. Cepin Formalization of a quantitative risk analysis methodology for static explosive events R.G. Salhab, I. Haring & F.K.F. Radtke High-pressure pipeline break risk assessment T. Saska, J. Novak, F. Kratochvil & R. Sousek Integrated risk assessment for LNG terminals O.N. Aneziris, I.A. Papazoglou & M. Konstantinidou ITRA: GUST-The Guttman scaling tool for supporting IT risk assessment audits R. Mock & Ph. Aeschlimann Literate PSA modeling for a modular PSA M. Hibti Managing the risks to personnel within occupied buildings N.J. Cavanagh Method for quantitative assessment of domino effect caused by overpressure F. Kadri, E. Chatelet & G. Chen Organizational interface failures: A historical perspective and risk analysis framework T.T. Pires & A. Mosleh Probabilistic risk analysis procedure for aircraft overruns M.G. Gratton, M. De Ambroggi & P. Trucco Probabilistic Safety Assessment of a UF6 production process B. Ebrahimi Safety factors in fire safety engineering H. Bjelland & O. Nja Setting rational safety goals for human spaceflight J.R. Fragola & E.L. Morse Reliability and safety data collection and analysis A discussion on expert judgments in national risk analyses K. Russell Vastveit, O. Nja, G.S. Braut & M. Ruge Holte A simple polynomial regression to estimate the parameters of the Weibull distribution with > 0 I.B. Sidibe & K.H. Adjallah Accelerated test model in fatigue life reliability evaluation of stub axle E.A. Azrulhisham, Y.M. Asri, A.W. Dzuraidah & A.H. Hairul Fahmi Analysis of wave energy parameters based on copula functions C. Ejoh & S. Sriramula Database concept in early stage of operation I. Dziaduch & M. Mlynczak Estimation of an aging failure process taking into account change in trend and local perturbation E. Idee, P. Briand, C. Labart, V. Verrier & P. Bertrand Gamma process classification according to relevant variables: Problem statement and first study X.Z. Wang, E. Grall-Maes & P. Beauseroy Improved estimation of failure frequencies for offshore pipelines and risers P. Praks & S. Medonos Links between reliability Cox model for MV electrical component and the reliability target defined for the global MV electrical network P. Carer, R. Lattes, L. Guerineau, B. Puluhen & L. Pierrat On a goodness of fit test for gamma process: Comparison of an observed process with a reference E. Grall-Maes Reliability prediction model of a multi-state system subject to general repair and maintenance with limited failure data M. Muhammad, A.A. Mokhtar & M.A.A. Majid Reliability prediction of oil wells by support vector machine with particle swarm optimization for variable selection and hyperparameter tuning I.D. Lins, M.C. Moura, E.L. Droguett, E. Zio & C.M. Jacinto Reliability prognosis for mobile phones: A case study A. Braasch, F. Plinke, D. Althaus & A. Meyna Risk of postoperative complications after surgeries: Laparoscopic versus open surgery P. Jahoda, R. Bris & L. Martinek The RAW concept: Early identification and analysis of product failure behaviour in the use phase S. Bracke & S. Haller Trialling the use of safety performance indicators within Great Britain's railway industry K. Thompson, J. Heavisides, G. Bearfield & D. Griffin Warranty data analysis for service demand forecasting: A case study in household appliances O. Borgia, F. De Carlo & M. Tucci Risk and hazard analysis A modelling framework for model based risk analysis J.-M. Flaus A linear programming approach to risk prioritization in FMEA P.A.A. Garcia, I.C. Leal Jr. & M.A. Oliveira Ageing and life extension for safety systems on offshore facilities S. Habrekke & P. Hokstad Applying a systemic model of accident within a system for treatment of contaminated materials K. Hardy & F. Guarnieri Assessment of loss results by means of multi-criteria analysis P. Suchardova, A. Bernatik & O. Sucharda Evaluation of regional risk analyses in Norway O. Nja, G.S. Braut & K.R. Vastveit Fragment launching conditions for risk analysis of explosion and impact scenarios R.G. Salhab, I. Haring & F.K.F. Radtke Improving reliability allocation in a complex repairable system using STRR allocation technique W. Baun Managing inconsistency in safety analysis: An initial exploration L. Sun & T. Kelly New approach to analysis of falling objects in the offshore petroleum industry-operational categorization of events J. Seljelid, S.A. Kvalheim, O.M. Nyheim & J.E. Vinnem On software interoperability in accident consequence assessment S. Contini, L. Fabbri, V. Matuzas & M. Binda Risk assessment of dropped and dragged anchors to offshore pipelines L.F. Oliveira & D. Gusovsky Safety assessment methodology for a UAV development program C. Sirma Towards an integrated risk model for hydrocarbon industry operation B.J.M. Ale, D. Hanea, C. van Gulijk, P.-H. Lin, S. Sillem & P. Hudson Towards CFD fire modelling applied to quantitative risk analysis S. Vianna, K. Shaba, J. Pujol, A. Garcia-Sagrado & L.F. Oliveira Risk governance An evaluation of the risk governance of civil aviation during the 2010 volcanic ash cloud H. Veland & T. Aven Regulatory response to hazards. Case studies from the Norwegian petroleum industry P.H. Lindoe, O.A. Engen & A. Moen The effect of the Deepwater Horizon accident on the Norwegian debate concerning future oil and gas development in Lofoten and Vesteralen I.L. Johansen Risk management Benchmark study on international functional safety standards F. Masse, R. Tiennot, J.P. Signoret, P. Blancart, G. Dupin & L. Marle Correlating risk and innovation management in projects F. Marle, M. Jankovic & G. Turre Drilling consortia-new ways of organising exploration drilling in the oil and gas industry and the consequences for safety L. Hansson, G.M. Lamvik & S. Antonsen Effectively mitigating and managing the risk to public assets D. Prochazkova Empowered agents or empowered agencies? Assessing the risk regulatory regimes in the Norwegian and US offshore oil and gas industry P.H. Lindoe, M. Baram & G.S. Braut Experience from chemical industry for controlling patient safety C. van Gulijk, B.J.M. Ale, D. Dongelmans & M. Vroom Integrated safety management based on organizational resilience T.O. Grotan & F. Storseth Principles for setting risk acceptance criteria for safety critical activities E. Vanem Quality aspects in planning of maintenance and modification on offshore oil and gas installations S. Sarshar, A.B. Skjerve, G. Rindahl, T. Sand & B. Hermansen Reducing the risks faced by small businesses: The lifecycle concept S. Clusel, F. Guarnieri, C. Martin & D. Lagarde Risk assessment method for shopping centres S. Nenonen & K. Tytykoski Security risk management in Norwegian aviation meets nordic traditions of risk management O.A. Engen The collective risk, the individual risk and their dependence on exposition time J. Braband & H. Schabe Safety culture and risk perception Development of a safety management system for Small and Medium Enterprises (SME's) E. McGuinness, I.B. Utne & M. Kelly Relation between organizational culture styles and safety culture M.A. Mariscal Saldana, S. Garcia Herrero, A. Toca Otero & J.M. Gutierrez Llorente Risk perception in health care-A study of differences across organizational interfaces S. Wiig Safety theoretical issues: Scientific please, but keep it brief F. Storseth & T.O. Grotan The challenge of system change in aviation: The Masca project M.C. Leva, N. McDonald, S. Corrigan & P. Ulfvengren The impact of safety climate on risk perception on Norwegian and Danish production platforms H.B. Rasmussen & J.E. Tharaldsen Training for compliance and beyond: Enabling high performance deliveries in the work permit process H. von Hirsch Eriksen, S. Mjelstad, O.H. Utvik & H. Smaamo Structural reliability and design codes Beams on elastic foundation solved via probabilistic approach (SBRA Method) K. Frydrysek Deterioration model for large reinforced concrete structures M. Sykora & M. Holicky Development of representative seismic fragility function for bridge group by using results of safety factor M.K. Kim, I.-K. Choi & D.G. Hahm Fatigue loading estimation for road bridges using long term WIM monitoring M. Treacy & E. Bruhwiler Finite difference modeling of formation damage during underbalanced drilling in a tight gas reservoir M. Naseri, S.R. Shadizadeh, E. Sahraei & S.S. Ghorashi Laboratory simulation technique of non-stationary random vibration environment C. Mao, Y. Jiang, J. Tao & X. Chen Performance of passive fire protection for liquefied petroleum gas vessels: An experimental and numerical study M. Gomez-Mares, S. Larcher, A. Tugnoli, V. Cozzani, F. Barontini & G. Landucci Probabilistic approaches used in the solution of design for biomechanics and mining K. Frydrysek Probabilistic assessment of an aged highway bridge under traffic load R.D.J.M. Steenbergen, J. Maljaars, O. Morales Napoles & L. Abspoel Probabilistic modelling of hygro-thermal performance of building structure Z. Sadovsky, O. Koronthalyova & P. Matiasovsky Probabilistic models of thermal actions for bridges J. Markova Reliability based design in tunnelling M. Huber, P.A. Vermeer, C. Moormann & M.A. Hicks Small failure probability assessment based on subset simulations: Application to a launcher structure C. Elegbede & F. Normand Uncertainty analysis of ultimate limit state of steel bar structures Z. Kala Updating partial factors for material properties of existing structures in a Eurocode framework using Bayesian statistics R. Caspeele & L. Taerwe System reliability analysis A fast augmentation algorithm for optimizing the performance of repairable flow networks in real time M.T. Todinov A Monte Carlo simulation based dependability analysis of a non-Markovian grid computing environment with software rejuvenation V.P. Koutras, S. Malefaki & A.N. Platis An adapted application of FMEA in the identification of critical dynamic failure modes of digital reactor protection systems G. Wang & S. Li An analysis of applying RCM methodology in a Brazilian thermal power plant P.H.C. Lins, T.V. Garcez, M.H. Alencar & A.T. de Almeida An approach for coupling single component failure event with different common cause groups D. Kancev & M. Cepin Automated generation of a reliability model for a system undertaking phased missions S.J. Dunnett & K.S. Stockwell Contribution to mission profile effect onto sequential system reliability M. Koucky & D. Valis Dependability analysis activities merged with system engineering, a real case study feedback R. Cressent, V. Idasiak, F. Kratz & P. David Fast mission reliability prediction for unmanned aerial vehicles J.D. Andrews, J. Poole & W.H. Chen How IEC 61508 can be used to design safe offshore wind turbines L. Dai, I.B. Utne & M. Rausand Impact of different minimal path set selection methods on efficiency of fault tree decomposition V. Matuzas & S. Contini Issues of reliability in mobile working machines-inquiry study A.-V. Itasalo, A. Ellman & T. Valisalo Management of factors that influence common cause failures of safety instrumented system in the operational phase M. Rahimi, M. Rausand & M.A. Lundteigen Modelling of dynamical dependability by using stochastic processes J. Chudoba Qualitative analysis of a BDMP by finite automaton P.-Y. Chaux, J.-M. Roussel, J.-J. Lesage, G. Deleuze & M. Bouissou Reliability analysis of phased-mission systems with phase mission backup X. Wu & Q. Liu Reliability analysis of the electronic protection systems with mixed m-branches reliability structure A. Rosinski Reliability analysis of vacuum sewerage systems using the total probability theorem K. Miszta-Kruk Requirements for dependability management and ICT tools in early stages of the system design P. Valkokari, T. Ahonen, O. Venho-Ahonen, H. Franssila & A. Ellman Safety and Reliability Decision Support System K. Kolowrocki & J. Soszynska-Budny The model of reusability of multi-component product A. Jodejko-Pietruczuk & M. Plewa Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis A methodology to study complex biophysical systems with global sensitivity analysis Q.-L. Wu, P.-H. Cournede & J. Bertheloot A study of uncertainties in active load carrying systems due to scatter in specifications of piezoelectric actuators S. Ondoua, H. Hanselka, R. Platz & J. Nuffer An environmental risk assessment of a contaminated site based on extended uncertainty analyses M.F. Milazzo & T. Aven Comparing Ordered Weighted Averaging (OWA) and Copeland score for composite indicators in the field of security of energy supply C.M. Rocco S., S. Tarantola, A.C. Badea & R. Bolado Generalized expressions of reliability of series-parallel and parallel-series systems using the Transferable Belief Model F. Aguirre, M. Sallak & W. Schon Importance analysis in risk-informed decision-making of changes to Allowed Outage Times addressing uncertainties S. Martorell, M. Villamizar, J.F. Villanueva, S. Carlos & A.I. Sanchez Importance analysis of multi-state system based on structural function methods E. Zaitseva & V. Levashenko Integrated approach to assessment of risks from VCE's using phast risk and FLACS N.J. Cavanagh & G. Morale Monte Carlo and fuzzy interval propagation of hybrid uncertainties on a risk model for the design of a flood protection dike P. Baraldi, N. Pedroni, E. Zio, E. Ferrario, A. Pasanisi & M. Couplet Procedures for aggregating experts' knowledge and group decision model approaches T.V. Garcez, A.T. de Almeida-Filho & A.T. de Almeida Sensitivity analysis of repetitive shock machine's vibration energy J. Wan, B. Chen & Q.T. Wang Uncertainty analysis in probabilistic risk assessment: Comparison of probabilistic and non probabilistic approaches D. Vasseur, T.D. Le Duy, A. Dutfoy, L. Dieulle & C. Berenguer Uncertainty analysis of nanoparticles for cancer photothermal therapy D. Barchiesi, S. Kessentini & T. Grosges Uncertainty analysis via failure domain characterization: Unrestricted requirement functions L.G. Crespo, S.P. Kenny & D.P. Giesy Uncertainty assessment of reliability estimates for safety instrumented systems H. Jin, M.A. Lundteigen & M. Rausand Uncertainty propagation methods in dioxin/furans emission estimation models G. Ripamonti, G. Lonati, P. Baraldi, F. Cadini & E. Zio Variance based sensitivity analysis of interactive buckling Z. Kala Special topics: Risk and reliability importance measures Differential importance measures estimation through Monte Carlo and importance sampling techniques S. La Rovere, P. Vestrucci & M. Sperandii Importance measures with finite changes: The relationship between Fussell-Vesely and total order reliability importance E. Borgonovo & C.L. Smith On imprecision in relation to uncertainty importance measures R. Flage, T. Aven, P. Baraldi & E. Zio Uncertainty in importance measures: Developing the Epistemic Risk Achievement Worth E. Borgonovo & C.L. Smith Special topics: Deterioration modelling with covariates Adaptive residual-based maintenance policy for a deteriorating system in dynamic environment X. Zhao, M. Fouladirad & C. Berenguer An adaptive sequential maintenance decision for a deteriorating system with covariates and maintenance constraints E. Khoury, E. Deloux, A. Grall & C. Berenguer Condition-based maintenance strategies for a partially observable deteriorating system E. Deloux, M. Fouladirad & C. Berenguer On the gamma process modulated by a Markov jump process C. Paroissin & L. Rabehasaina Preventive maintenance optimization for a degrading system subject to shocks with degradation-dependent maintenance costs M.C. Segovia & P.E. Labeau Statistical modelling of aeronautical turboshaft engines ageing from field and repair data feedback including preventive maintenance A. Billon, P. Darfeuil, S. Humbert, L. Bordes & C. Paroissin Special topics: Multiple Criteria Decision Aid (MCDA) and risk analysis Assessing sustainability and risks: About using a Multi-Criteria Decision Aid methodology within an organization M. Merad, N. Dechy & F. Marcel Expertise and decision-aiding in safety and environment domains: What are the risks? M. Merad, W. Ouerdane & N. Dechy MCDA tools and risk analysis: The decision deck project B. Mayag, O. Cailloux & V. Mousseau Parametrize a territorial risk evaluation scale using multiple experts knowledge through risk assessment examples O. Cailloux & V. Mousseau Special topics: Function-oriented monitoring and diagnosis Generating quantitative cause-consequence explanation for operator support systems A. Gofuku & M. Yonemura Multilevel flow modeling for nuclear power plant diagnostics G. Gola, M. Lind, H.P.-J. Thunem, A.P.-J. Thunem, E. Wingstedt & D. Roverso Reasoning about causes and consequences in Multilevel Flow Models M. Lind Using an agent-oriented framework for supervision, diagnosis and prognosis applications in advanced automation environments H.P.-J. Thunem, A.P.-J. Thunem & M. Lind Industrial sectors Aeronautics and aerospace A model to assess lifetime of selected structural components using time distribution of exceeding a boundary condition-an outline J. Zurek, H. Tomaszek & M. Zieja Automatic derivation of qualitative and quantitative safety requirements for aircraft systems P. Bieber, R. Delmas, C. Seguin & M. Bretschneider Method of analysis of the relation between serious incident and accident in air traffic J. Skorupski Towards model-based functional hazard assessment at aircraft level S. Maitrehenry, S. Metge, Y. Ait-Ameur & P. Bieber Chemical and process industry Consequence analysis of SI cycle hydrogen production plant coupled to a nuclear reactor T. Ruiz-Sanchez, J.L. Francois, P.F. Nelson & M.J. Cruz-Gomez Evaluation of CO2 liquefaction processes with production availability Y. Seo, K. Kim & D. Chang Evaporation rate of acetone: Overview of correlations and sensitivity analysis S. Forestier, F. Heymes, G. Dusserre, L. Munier & E. Lapebie Numerical simulation of pool fires in oil pipeline system V.E. Seleznev & V.V. Aleshin Critical infrastructures A modelling language for the resilience assessment of networked systems of systems R. Filippini & A. Silva An All-Hazard approach for the vulnerability analysis of critical infrastructures E. Zio, R. Piccinelli & G. Sansavini Analytical model of low-rise building vulnerability curves G.L. Pita & J.-P. Pinelli Comparison of vulnerability and reliability analysis of technical infrastructures J. Johansson & H. Hassel Complexity and vulnerability of Smartgrid systems E. Kuznetsova, K. Culver & E. Zio Exploring critical infrastructure interdependency by hybrid simulation approach C. Nan, W. Kroger & P. Probst Failure scenarios in water supply system by means of fault tree analysis B. Tchorzewska-Cieslak, K. Boryczko & M. Eid From pre-crisis to post-crisis going through the peak A. Lauge, J. Hernantes, L. Labaka & J.M. Sarriegi Interdependency analysis of CIs in real scenarios E. Cagno, P. Trucco & M. De Ambroggi Optimization of electrical grid protection by a differential evolution algorithm E. Zio, L.R. Golea & G. Sansavini Organized Method for Secured Infrastructure Specifications T. Derode, C. Elegbede, E. Garcia & P. Gilibert Power grid reliability and vulnerability analysis A. Volkanovski & W. Kroger Reliability issues related to the usage of cloud computing in critical infrastructures O. Diez & A. Silva Service dependability and performance of SCADA systems interconnecting power grids and Telco networks E. Ciancamerla, M. Minichino, D. Lefevre & L. Lev Some metrics for assessing the vulnerability of complex networks: An application to an electric power system C.M. Rocco S., J.E. Ramirez-Marquez & D.E. Salazar A. The need for a new approach to road tunnels risk analysis K. Kirytopoulos & K. Kazaras Towards an integrated risk analysis framework for CO2 Capture, Transport and Storage J. Samadi & E. Garbolino Unreliability of water supply networks in the Polish towns based on the field reliability tests M. Kwietniewski & K. Miszta-Kruk Energy Aligning natural gas industry in an efficient and effective way towards greenhouse gases emissions T.V. Alvarenga Hazards and accident risks of fossil, nuclear and renewable energy technologies P. Burgherr, P. Eckle & S. Hirschberg Modelling and maintenance optimisation for the next generation of power plants U. Aha, A. Manig & H.J. Krautz Numerical monitoring of natural gas delivery discrepancy for cities energy preparedness V.E. Seleznev & V.V. Kiselev Reliability and availability estimation of a photovoltaic system using Petri networks R. Laronde, A. Charki, D. Bigaud, E.A. Elsayed & P. Excoffier Information technology and telecommunications Backup path calculation in diverse routing considering shared risk link groups J. Silva, T. Gomes & C. Simoes Bottleneck detection and forecasting in Message-Oriented-Middleware B. Chew & J. Bigham Communications reliability analysis in networked embedded systems D. Aza-Vallina, B. Denis & J.-M. Faure Designing a reliable protocol for web services based robots interconnection H. Madsen, R.-D. Albu, F. Popentiu-Vladicescu, R.C. Tarca & G. Albeanu How to assess telecom service availability risks for crisis organisations? E. Vriezekolk, R. Wieringa & S. Etalle Reliability evaluation of tactical internet based on cloud-mobility model X. Wang & R. Kang Resilience at interfaces-Improvement of safety and security in distributed control systems by establishing guidelines in collaboration S.O. Johnsen Safety aspects of generic real-time embedded software model checking in the fuzing domain M. Larisch, U. Siebold & I. Haring Web server's reliability improvements using recurrent neural networks H. Madsen, R.-D. Albu, I. Felea, G. Albeanu, F. Popentiu-Vladicescu & R.C. Trca Land transportation A modal choice approach for freight transportation considering accident risks and eco-efficiency I.C. Leal Jr., P.A.A. Garcia & M.A. D'Agosto Adapting the air traffic management safety screening technique for railways B. Milius & N. Petrek Improving the reliability/availability of a complex system by an active monitoring based onto "augmentation concept": Application onto a railway system J. Gandibleux, L. Cauffriez & G. Branger Measures of reliability and safety of rail transportation system F.J. Restel Optimization of preventive maintenance policy based on operational reliability analysis (Application to tramway access doors) B. Bonnet & P. Dersin RAMS processes in railway-substructure engineering for improved project quality E. Okstad Risk analysis applied to discrete transportation systems D. Caban & T. Walkowiak Risk assessment and improvement of resilience of critical communication infrastructure S.O. Johnsen & M. Veen Statistical analysis of railway safety performance in the European Union J. Braband & H. Schabe Manufacturing Audit to a specific study scenario according to a reference framework for the improvement of the warranty management V. Gonzalez Diaz, C. Parra Marquez, J.F. Gomez Fernandez & A. Crespo Marquez Exact formulation of (R,S) and (s-1,1) inventory policies with poisson demand. Application to spare parts stock optimisation J. Lonchampt ICT application on the warranty management process. The "e-Warranty" concept V. Gonzalez Diaz, L. Barbera Martinez, J.F. Gomez Fernandez & A. Crespo Marquez Institutional design of product recall based on multi-agent simulation K. Mitsudo, T. Kanno & K. Furuta Integrated model of control chart and maintenance management with costs of production losses F. Costantino, M. De Minicis & G. Di Gravio Intelligent supervisory system for availability estimation of automated material handling system J. Smoczek & J. Szpytko Key performance indicators-a necessary tool for managing improvement processes? O. Meland Logistic support for the improvement of the warranty management V. Gonzalez Diaz, A. Crespo Marquez, F. Peres, M. De Minicis & M. Tronci Near-miss management system design in a lean manufacturing process S. Andriulo, M.G. Gnoni, P. Nardone & G. Maggio Optimal controller for manufacturing systems by decentralized approach A. Philippot, V. Carre-Menetrier & A. Tajer The management of a warranty assistances program: A suggestion as reference framework V. Gonzalez Diaz, L. Barbera Martinez, J.F. Gomez Fernandez & A. Crespo Marquez The reverse logistics model of single-component product recovery M. Plewa & A. Jodejko-Pietruczuk Maritime transportation A proposed Fuzzy Bayesian Network (FBN) model for measuring seafarers' reliability R. Riahi, I. Jenkinson, S. Bonsall & J. Wang A study of the implementation of maritime safety regulations by a ship operator H. Karahalios, Z.L. Yang & J. Wang An integrated Life Cycle Assessment model to facilitate ship ecodesign E. Vanem, L.E. Mangset, G. Psarros & R. Skjong Analysis of near collisions in the Gulf of Finland F. Goerlandt, J. Montewka, H. Lammi & P. Kujala How incomplete statistical accident data affects the validation of risk analysis models M. Hassel, B.E. Asbjornslett & E.K. Ombler Integrated risk management in an industrial port P.A. Bragatto & A. Pirone Optimal redundancy strategy for an automatic docking system between two ships J. Ahn, J. Kwak & D. Chang The possible impact of different watch keeping regimes at sea on sleep, fatigue, and safety T. Kongsvik, K. Storkersen & J.H. Hansen Natural hazards A probabilistic framework for managing blowout risk during access to subglacial Antarctic Lakes M.P. Brito, G. Griffiths & M. Mowlem Active environment as a potential source of risk of major accident K. Sikorova & A. Bernatik Hydraulic modelling of the flood prone area in a basin with a historical report of urban inundation: The Arunca River case (Central Portugal) P.P. Santos, A.O. Tavares & A.I.A.S.S. Andrade Industrial hazards associated with the eruption of Etna M.F. Milazzo, G. Ancione, A. Basco, E. Salzano & G. Maschio Interdependent fragility of complex urban infrastructure systems subjected to probabilistic earthquake hazards I. Hernandez-Fajardo & L. Duenas-Osorio Management of hurricane risk in Florida J.-P. Pinelli, T. Johnson, G.L. Pita, K. Gurley & S. Hamid The significance of regulatory framework on safety climate R.J. Bye, J. Royrvik & G.M. Lamvik The use of risk and vulnerability analysis in climate change adaptation J. Laugesen, B.A. Mostue, I.B. Utne & J. Vatn Total suspended particulate from mobile sources in an Italian opencast quarry: A proposal to improve US EPA ISC3 model G.A. Degan, D. Lippiello & M. Pinzari Nuclear industry A Fokker-Planck model of pitting corrosion in underground pipelines to support risk-informed decision making E.N. Camacho, P.F. Frutuoso e Melo, P.L.C. Saldanha & E.P. da Silva A review of different approaches for developing process safety indicators G.P. Monteiro & P.F. Frutuoso e Melo Are organizational audits of safety that different from organizational investigation of accidents? N. Dechy, J.-M. Rousseau & M. Llory Integrated approach to optimize CAREM 25 nuclear power plant J.E. Nunez Mc Leod & S.S. Rivera Reliability analysis of Residual Heat Removal System (RHRS) in nuclear power plant by the GO-FLOW methodology C. Yongyue & Y. Ming Semi-quantitative methods in railway signaling-a viable model for nuclear applications? H.-P. Berg & S. Griebel

Product Details

  • publication date: 23/08/2011
  • ISBN13: 9780415683791
  • Format: Hardback
  • Number Of Pages: 3076
  • ID: 9780415683791
  • weight: 1111
  • ISBN10: 0415683793

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