China's reform era is ending. Core factors that characterized itpolitical stability, ideological openness, and rapid economic growthare unraveling.
Since the 1990s, Beijing's leaders have firmly rejected any fundamental reform of their authoritarian one-party political system, even as a decades-long boom has reshaped China's economy and society. On the surface, their efforts have been a success. Political turmoil has toppled former Communist East bloc regimes, internal unrest overtaken Middle East nations, and populist movements risen to challenge established Western democracies. China, in contrast, has appeared a relative haven of
stability and growth.
But as Carl Minzner shows, a closer look at China's reform era reveals a different truth. Over the past three decades, a frozen political system has fueled both the rise of entrenched interests within the Communist Party itself, and the systematic underdevelopment of institutions of governance among state and society at large. Economic cleavages have widened. Social unrest has worsened. Ideological polarization has deepened.
Now, to address these looming problems, China's leaders are progressively cannibalizing institutional norms and practices that have formed the bedrock of the regime's stability in the reform era. Technocratic rule is giving way to black-box purges; collective governance sliding back towards single-man rule. The post-1978 era of reform and opening up is ending. China is closing down. Uncertainty hangs in the air as a new future slouches towards Beijing to be born. End of an Era explains how
China arrived at this dangerous turning point, and outlines the potential outcomes that could result.
Carl Minzner is Professor of Law at Fordham Law School. He is an expert in Chinese law and governance, and has written extensively on these topics in both academic journals and the popular press.
Preface Introduction Chapter 1. Overview: The End of China's Reform Era Chapter 2. Society and Economy: The Closing of the Chinese Dream Chapter 3. Politics: Internal Decay and Social Unrest Chapter 4. Religion and Ideology: What Do We Believe? Chapter 5. China in Comparative Perspective Chapter 6. Possible Futures Conclusion