This volume, the first in a joint project of the International Studies Association and Blackwell Publishers, addresses the long run future of international relations as seen from the perspectives of leading scholars of basic patterns which have characterized its extended past and its present. Emphasis goes to fundamental features of polarity, governance, prevailing identities, the role of state and non-state actors, and patterns of aggregation and disaggregation as they bear on security and political economy prospects. The conjectures are placed in the context of major constraints on our ability to forecast international relations futures and the policy usefulness of highly general expectations.
Davis E. Bobrow is Professor of Public and International Affairs and Political Science at the University of Pittsburgh.
Acknowledgements. Contributors. 1. Prospecting the Future: Davis. B. Bobrow. 2. Why Forecasts Fail: The Limits and Potential of Forecasting in International Relations and Economics: Charles F. Doran. 3. World System History: From Traditional International Politics to the Study of Global Relations: Robert A. Denemark. 4. Global Politics at the Turn of the Millennium: Changing Bases of "Us" and "Them": Yale H. Ferguson and Richard W. Mansbach. 5. The Long and the Short of Global Politics in the Twenty-First Century: An Evolutionary Approach: George Modelski and William R. Thompson. 6. Unipolarity Without Hegemony: David Wilkinson. 7. Peering Into the Future by Looking Back: The Westphalian, Philadelphian and Anti-Utopian Paradigms. 8. Approaches to Global Politics in the Twenty-First Century: A Review Essay: Stuart J. Kaufman.