Journeys Through Conflict is the story of the Conflict Early Warning Systems (CEWS) project of the International Social Science Research Council. It relates the history of the project, presents its empirically grounded approach to anticipating violent conflict, and shows how the approach may be extended to other social science research arenas. Journeys Through Conflict projects alternate pathways to war and peace by a unique coding, graphing, and computational procedure that takes into account both contested conflict histories and future conflict resolutions.
Hayward R. Alker is John A. McCone Professor in the School of International Relations at the University of Southern California. Ted Robert Gurr is Distinguished University Professor and director of the Minorities at Risk program at the University of Maryland at College Park. Kumar Rupesinghe is the chair of Quality Management Systems, International.
Chapter 1 Preface: The Origins of the CEWS Vision Part 2 Building Conflict Early Warning Systems Chapter 3 The Challenge of Developing Conflict Early Warning Systems: A Proposal Chapter 4 The Double Design of the CEWS Project Chapter 5 Peacemaking and Conflict Transformation in Guatemala Part 6 Comparative Studies of Prevention Successes and Failures Chapter 7 Could Humanitarian Crises Have Been Anticipated in Burundi, Rwanda, and Zaire? A Comparative Study of Aniticipatory Indicators Chapter 8 Escalatory Dynamics in the Moldova-Dniestr and Chechnya Conflicts Chapter 9 Why Are Some Ethnic Disputes Settled Peacefully, While Others Become Violent? Kin-Group Conflicts in Post-Communist Europe Chapter 10 Non-Conventional Diplomacy: Experiences of NGOs and People's Participation in Selected Peace processes Chapter 11 Domestic and Transnational Strategies for Namaging Separatis Conflicts: Four Asian Cases Part 12 A Prototype Information System for Early Warning Networks Chapter 13 A comparative Look at Early Warning Indicators: PIOOM, the State Failures Project and CEWS Cases Chapter 14 A Synthetic Framework for Extensible Conflict Early Warning Information Systems Chapter 15 Exploring Alternative Conflict Trajectories with the CEWS-Explorer Part 16 Sharing Informational Resources within Global CEW Networks Chapter 17 Lessons from CEWS, FEWER and Other Early Warning Projects